Category: Startups

  • Monetization or Cannibalization – The State of Social Gaming Marketing

    Mike Arrington is a genius. Main-stream journalists sit up, knees together, back straight and start taking notes because this is a master at work. His recent blog entry titled Scamville calls out the most focused on and buzz-worthy companies in the valley for making money from advertising scams and accuses Facebook of encouraging a vile cycle of revenue and crappy marketing. The effect for Techcrunch is that it forces a number of high profile companies to respond and creates a giant political suck-hole that draws you in and spits you out on techcrunch.com. Cha-ching! [It’s cynical Sunday – didn’t you know?]

    There’s a great show-down video at the Virtual Goods Summit where Mike confronts Offerpal CEO Anu Shukla about this and she delivers a rather colorful response. Video below.

    Buried in the comments on TC are a few experienced words from HotOrNot founder James Hong. Love the hotel pay-per-view analogy:

    We ran offers like this back in 2005 for a very short period of time at HOTorNOT, that is until we realized what was going on. In a nutshell, the offers that monetize the best are the ones that scam/trick users. Sure we had netflix ads show up, and clearly those do convert to some degree, but i’m pretty sure most of the money ended up getting our users hooked into auto-recurring SMS subscriptions for horoscopes and stuff. When I hear people defending their directory of deals by saying Netflix is in there, i am reminded of how hotel pay-per-view has non-pornographic movies. Sure it gives them good cover, but we all know where the money is made.

    In the end, we decided to turn the offers off. Quite frankly, the offers made us feel dirty, and pretty much on the same level as spammers. For us, the money just wasn’t worth it. On top of that, we relied on our goodwill with users and focused on growing by having a product and company that our users liked. Our sense was that using scammy offers would make good money in the short run, but would destroy our userbase in the end. Perhaps apps on facebook don’t feel this pressure because facebook is so huge, and there are always new people to burn.

    I’d like to point out that there are some game companies out there who are holding out on using offers to monetize their users. Personally, that makes me 10 times more likely to pull my credit card out for them.

    PS. I don’t think the concept of letting people fulfill offers to get credits is structurally a bad one. I for one would like to see the offer networks work together to create some set of public agreement on what types of practices are banned from their network, and perhaps they can evan have some sort of certification logo. These practices will only stop when companies are not competitively crippled by NOT doing them. In effect, we need a nuclear non-proliferation treaty among the offer networks.

    For soap opera fans here’s the war of words at the Virtual Goods Summit between Mike and Anu. [YouTube is currently down – so check back in a few if it doesn’t show up.]



  • The best lesson in entrepreneurship you'll get this year

    This is a brilliant short talk by Tina Selig asking students “If you had $5 and 2 hours, what would you do to make as much money as possible?”. Her point that capital can simply be a distraction is a view I’ve held for a long time – especially in the context of cheap-to-start-and-run consumer web startups.

  • The profitable business of taking money from startups

    Under the guise of fostering innovation, guys like The Life Sciences and Healthcare Venture Summit, who spammed me today are happily taking money from entrepreneurs and offering a tax deductible day out of the office in return. Perhaps I’m inspired by Jason Calcanis’s recent jihad against investors that charge you to pitch, but these high cost ‘for-the-startup-community’ events are a waste of time and money and something that’s been grating me for some time now.

    The event above charges you $595 for early registration. It’s a one day event. If they net 5000 suckers, that’s $2,975,000 in revenue. Host an event every 2 months and you’re into a more than $17 million dollar business.

    Have you ever tried to elevator pitch an investor at a startup ‘networking’ event? Don’t!

    Have you ever learned anything new at a startup event? Sure you have, but you’re surrounded by your competitors and the instant it hits everyone else’s ears it’s useless to you as a potential differentiator. And it’ll be all over Techmeme tomorrow anyway.

    Real networking is done one on one. It’s not about handing out business cards and expecting a few ‘hits’. It’s about investing your time and talent in people and their businesses. One day they may have an opportunity to return the favor, but there’s never any expectation. Relationships are built through shared experiences, not by breathing the air someone else recently finished with.

    Real innovation is done by doing it. You don’t create something new by getting a history lesson in a crowded room.

    The really useful data is found where everyone else isn’t looking. Have you ever looked at the wealth of excellent government data out there? Did you know there are huge cults of quilting and scrap-booking blogging communities out there?

    /end_rant

  • Bleet: Big VC's aren't always the best choice

    What’s a Bleet? A blog entry that really should be a tweet.

    Naval and Nivi (venturehacks) posted an interesting tweet today:

    Chris Dixon on the problem with taking seed money from big VCs: http://j.mp/2BHIPe. Some solutions: http://j.mp/4hFSsL

    I agree. I think there’s cachet value in having a large VC invest and based on Chris’s (IMO correct) views you need to decide if that value is worth the extra equity you’re giving up. The only scenario I can think of where cachet adds tangible value for founders is if you’re grooming the business for IPO or exit.


  • An immaginary conversation about immigration with Glenn Beck

    Update: I wrote this blog entry and then predictably, I unposted it after my more diplomatic side took over. But it got out via my RSS feed anyway and a friend enjoyed it. So here it is in all it’s left wing liberal glory. I’m switching the published date to today. Enjoy.

    I’m an immigrant.glennBeckXenophobe

    “Oooh nasty! Are you here to send your dirty kids to our schools?”

    No.

    “Are you going to leech of our social security?”

    No

    “Are you going to steal jobs from my family and my kids?”

    No.

    “Are you going to rip off our great health care system and then scuttle back to the dirty little hole you came from?”

    Um, no. Hey I didn’t accidentally cross the Canadian border did I?

    “So what are you doing in this here land of the free and home of the brave boy?”

    I’m here to create jobs for your kids. I moved here in 2003. Since then I’ve created four technology startups with the goal of building a profitable business, bringing foreign currency to the United States and creating jobs for Americans. I created one of the worlds largest job search engines to help Americans find jobs. I currently run a software business who’s products are used by over 300,000 websites world-wide and that brings foreign currency to the USA.

    “Oh come now. You’re just taking money away from American investors.”

    Actually most of my investors are self-made and are also immigrants. Some of them helped create Google, that great company co-founded by Sergei Brin, also an immigrant.

    “So what’s your point?”

    Well my point is that I’m surprised I have to have this conversation with you at all my little xenophobic marshmallow-faced friend. You may not realize it but you are costing this country billions in future earnings with your crappy attitude. Immigrant entrepreneurs are feeling pretty damn unappreciated thanks to you.

    “OK so what are you going to do? Move to Russia or something?”

    Actually Chile is sounding pretty good right now and is probably going to steal a truckload of talent that would have created millions of jobs and billions in future taxable dollars for the USA. If you invest $500,000 over 5 years, they’ll give you permanent residency, $30,000 to visit and explore Chile for due diligence, another $30,000 to launch your company in Chile, give you up to $1 Million for rent if you’re in one of their tech centers, up to $25,000 per year for training expenses for each of the locals you hire from one of their excellent engineering schools. You can even bring your own talented people to the country from anywhere in the world and Chile will pay for their training too. They’ll pay 40% of your costs if you want to build your own office up to $2 Million. And if your talented friends want to move to Chile they automatically get a working visa if they get a legitimate job.

    “So go! American’s are a tough breed. We know how to take care of ourselves!”

    Actually, you’ve been relying on us immigrant types for some time now. Albert Einstein immigrated to the United States and brought with him the physics you needed to create the first atomic bomb. Wernher Von Braun and 1,600 other scientists and engineers were brought to the United States post World War 2 as part of operation paperclip and Von Braun and his men were the creators of the Saturn V rocket that took the US to the moon. The space race gave birth to Silicon Valley, much of which continues to be powered by immigrant intellects today. Over half of all Valley Startups and one quarter of all American tech companies are started by immigrants.

    “So what the hell do you want me to do?”

    I want you to stop promoting a culture of xenophobia in this country. I want you to start thinking about what an opportunity this country has right now because, for all the America haters out there, there are still boatloads of PhD’s and business creators who want to come to this country. All we have to do is open our front doors to them and make them feel welcome. We don’t even have to throw tax dollars at them. They are self sufficient and through fulfilling their own dreams they’ll help fulfill the dreams you have for your children.

    americanBorders
  • ROTFLMFAO at 3am!

    I’m sitting here laughing hysterically at 3am trying not to wake the whole house.
    Found this old fail surfing youtube:

  • Will Twitter's lax data ownership policy result in jail time?

    Update: My real-time traffic feed says it all. 🙂 Thanks for the mention and link-love M.G. and Techcrunch.

    Two people died and 19 passed out at an Arizona sweat lodge last night. The author who hosted the event is James Arthur Ray and is an avid Twitterer. He deleted his 10 most recent tweets after the deaths, but Twitter search still has them cached. I’ve been aware of this for a while because every now and then I’ll go flying into asshole mode, post a tweet and then delete it within the hour. But it remains in Twitter search for all to see.

    But I suspect this case of losing control of your data is going to show up in court and be very high profile for Twitter. James most recent tweets are shown in the screenshot below. The two most recent tweets are the pertinent ones.

    twitter search

  • Advice to a new Seattle entrepreneur

    Google Groups archive of the STS mailing list isn’t working reliably, so I’m archiving a few emails I’ve sent to the STS list here. One day when I have too much time I’ll create a reliable threaded archive of the whole list. I sent this as a reply to a “getting started” advice request from a Seattle entrepreneur:

    Alfredo,

    I’m sure you’re going to get a lot of advice from the good folks on this list. I’m going to give you my three cents:

    Firstly, welcome to the very difficult but very rewarding world of creating a business out of nothing. It’s people like you who are the foundation of this country’s economy and prosperity. If you succeed you will be providing job security for hundreds, possibly thousands of people and you will have created a useful product or service.

    You are joining the entrepreneurial ranks at an interesting time. Things are changing. Two years ago, if you hired a few developers on elance, created some useful software in an interesting sector and got a few hundred thousand people using it it was quite likely that you could sell your company to a bigger company without actually having to earn any money.

    Today it’s a much harder environment. It’s more difficult to find investors and you can’t “build to flip” (build a business to sell it) as easily. But things aren’t as bad as they might sound.

    People with great ideas who live in places outside the normal technology centers have been creating businesses every year that earn good old fashioned cash. People who are in the traditional technology centers like Silicon Valley are now catching on to the idea of having their businesses earn cash too.

    That’s a good thing because it makes things much simpler. It’s a lot like running a lemonade stand: You create something that is worth more to your customers than the price you charge them for it. Perhaps you create a cup of lemonade that is worth a whole lot to a customer because it tastes so good and they’re darn thirsty, so they pay you 25c for it.

    Rule 1: Create a business that brings in cash.

    People think that running a business is complicated and that you need to do all kinds of preparation before you can even start actually doing the things that are going to make you money. They’ll tell you that you should incorporate, that you should get trademarked, that you should get office space etc..etc. Usually these are the same people that will make money out of you every time you do one of these things. The only thing you need to figure out is how to bring cash money through the door to pay yourself and grow your business.

    Rule 2: If you are doing something that isn’t helping your business bring in cash, see rule 1.

    So don’t worry about incorporating for now. Don’t worry about funding. Don’t worry about legal fees. Just start doing the thing that is going to make you cash money. Work fast because every day you work full-time on this business is a day you’re not earning a full-time salary. Once you have a company that is earning money you can worry about getting the legal protection that incorporating gives you, getting office space for your new employees and about protecting your now valuable trademark.

    Entrepreneurs don’t often realize how hard it is to create a profitable company because they look around and see everyone creating or running a startup. But most startups, especially in technology centers like Seattle are not profitable. They are burning through investor cash or founder cash and will eventually go away and be replaced by other startups that are burning through investor cash and confusing entrepreneurs. That wouldn’t be a problem, except that every time one of them goes away, it leaves an entrepreneur in its wake with 4 wasted years and usually poorer than if he or she was earning a regular salary.

    To get an idea of how hard it is to create a profitable company, think about creating a company that earns you $200,000 per year. I don’t mean go out and get a consulting job and work 14 hour days. I mean create a real business that earns you slightly more than you would earn at a regular job. Sounds a little harder now doesn’t it?

    The good news is that it’s almost as hard to create a small profitable business as it is to create a big profitable business. In fact if you create a small profitable business that can scale, then you’ve actually solved much of the problem of creating a big profitable business. And once you have a small profitable business that works, it’s easy to find investors to help you grow it. In fact you might not even need investors to grow your small profitable company and you can keep 100% of your company for yourself.

    So my advice to you so that instead of getting investors to buy you a few years to test one idea that is very likely not going to work, why not start off small and take an approach that lets you try out many ideas until you find one that works.

    Rule 3: Your first goal in creating your new cash generating business is to pay your own salary.

    If you can pay yourself and still have money left for the business then you’ve solved a very very hard problem and they only thing you need to do is to scale that business. But it’s very important that you don’t cheat and make the business completely reliant on you. So you can’t get a consulting job where you’re selling yourself.  You must create a business with multiple customers in which an employee can replace you at any time without any disruption to the business.

    Rule 4: Create a business that can scale – with multiple customers and in which you can be replaced.

    As I mentioned before, every day you work full-time on this business is a day you’re not going to be earning a full-time wage. So you need to work fast. You need to get from zero to the day that you can pay yourself as quickly as possible.

    Most business ideas fail. Many of them seem like great ideas before they become real, but once they’re created as businesses in the real world they turn out to be hopless. The way you solve this problem is you try out as many ideas as you can as quickly and as cheaply as possible. Take $4,000 that you were going to spend on legal fees and use it to get cheap offshore developers to create 8 websites that you can test. If it costs too much to create fully fledged products then create pretend products that you can use to gauge customer interest. As quickly as you can, figure out which onces the customers love and, more importantly, which one they will pay for. And then do that as fast as you can.

    Rule 5: Rapidly try out ideas until you find one that is highly likely to work.

    If at any time you find out that your new business is not going to work out then stop wasting your time and money on it and move on to the next idea as fast as possible.

    Rule 6: Fail fast because wasting time on a business that will fail wastes money and opportunity.

    Once you find a business that you know will bring in cash, focus all your energy on getting that business as fast as possible from that starting point to the day it can pay your salary and earn enough money to hire your first employee.

    Remember that companies like Twitter may look glamarous and exciting, but they aren’t yet profitable and there are plenty of people making millions in profit picking up garbage and fixing plumbing – even in the online world. [Why does GoDaddy come to mind]

    The last piece of advice I have for you is to do something you love. You’re going to be spending many late nights and early mornings working very hard and that love for your work is what will keep you coming back.

    Mark Maunder

  • The Two Universes

    I posted this today to the Seattle tech startup mailing list. A few folks liked it, so I’m reposting it here. It’s in response to a NY Times article talking about VC’s not caring about a business plan.

    In my experience the most interesting things to a prospective valley based technology investor in descending order are:

    1. Traction and (rapid) growth to date
    2. Team and their history
    3. Product

    My view is that there are two universes you can exist in with distinctly different laws of investment and business physics. There’s the Universe of the Valley and there’s the Universe of the Real.

    In the Universe of the Valley the laws are something like this:

    • Investors are interested in traction, team and product
    • They aren’t very interested in your business plan, revenue projections or even where that revenue will come from
    • They are more interested in your rapid growth
    • They’re also interested in your track record, team and the strategic relevance of your business
    • They’re interested in whether your business could pose a significant strategic threat or opportunity to a potential buyer
    • If your business does go the revenue route rather than being acquired, the view is that, like Google, a revenue model can be bolted on to a business that has scaled massively by really smart folks who will be hired at that point to solve that particular problem. (Like Google did and like Twitter will.)
    • In this universe, most investors have an attitude of go big or go home. They have a large appetite for risk and of course reward and they are generally relaxed and fun to work with and are fairly hands-off your business.

    In the Universe of the Real the laws are something like this:

    • Investors are interested in exactly how you plan to make money
    • They want to know how long it’s going to take to achieve certain product, growth and revenue milestones
    • They also care about traction, team and product, but as it pertains to revenue and it’s timescale
    • They care about many of the things the other universe cares about, like network effects that make your business more defensible, but in order to defend that current or future revenue stream.
    • If you change strategy or product mid-stride, they want to know why and how much (more) money it’s going to bring in and if it’s going to happen sooner
    • In this universe investors play a more active role in your business and like to be regularly reminded of progress towards the revenue they’re so interested in.

    The Universe of the Real is filled with companies that build oil rigs, real-estate developers, Kinko’s, Ben & Jerry’s and similar companies. Many of the stars in this universe remain nebulous but some manage to coalesce into stable businesses that burn bright and give off lots of energy for a long time.

    The Universe of the Valley is filled with stars like Twitter and Facebook that have enormous gravitational pull and that may some day turn into giant supernovae or implode into black holes.  There has been speculation recently that the Universe of the Valley may itself implode, but whether or not that sad day will come remains unclear.

    It’s up to you to decide which universe you want to live in. If you can, try to get an investor from the Universe of the Valley to cross over and help you build your business in the Universe of the Real.