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The DOW 10K priced as opportunity cost

Economists love the concept of opportunity cost because it gives you a the real long-term value of an investment or purchase in relative terms – which is really the only way to calculate value. On Wednesday the DOW hit 10,000 again. The US financial press did their part to ring the bell while the banking community celebrated the boost in perceived value and the increased likelihood that the public would buy their wares.

Fox News, like clockwork, has given former asshole president Bush credit for the recovery. (Skip to 3:00 in the video) “He took the bold moves and look where we are today..”.

John Authers in the Finanial Times is almost embarrassed on Thursday as he delivers the news of what a DOW 10K means in real, opportunity cost terms. If you invested in the DOW in 1999:

  • Relative to emerging markets you’ve lost 80% of your money.
  • Relative to gold you’ve lost 75% of your money.
  • And even in dollar terms corrected for inflation (using the CPI) you’ve lost around 23% of your money.

dow10k

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My name is Mark Maunder. I've been blogging since around 2003 when I started on Movable Type and ended up on WordPress which is what I use to publish today. With my wife Kerry, I'm the co-founder of Wordfence which protects over 5 million WordPress sites from hackers and is run by a talented team of 36 people. I'm an instrument rated pilot and I fly a Cessna 206 along with a 1964 Cessna 172 in the Pacific Northwest and Colorado. I'm originally from Cape Town, South Africa but live in the US these days. I code in a bunch of languages and am quite excited about our emerging AI overlords and how they're going to be putting us to work for them.